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Produktbild: Prediction Revisited

Prediction Revisited The Importance of Observation

27,99 €

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Beschreibung

Produktdetails

Einband

Gebundene Ausgabe

Erscheinungsdatum

08.06.2022

Verlag

John Wiley & Sons

Seitenzahl

240

Maße (L/B/H)

23,6/16,3/2 cm

Gewicht

519 g

Auflage

1. Auflage

Sprache

Englisch

ISBN

978-1-119-89558-9

Beschreibung

Produktdetails

Einband

Gebundene Ausgabe

Erscheinungsdatum

08.06.2022

Verlag

John Wiley & Sons

Seitenzahl

240

Maße (L/B/H)

23,6/16,3/2 cm

Gewicht

519 g

Auflage

1. Auflage

Sprache

Englisch

ISBN

978-1-119-89558-9

Herstelleradresse

Libri GmbH
Europaallee 1
36244 Bad Hersfeld
DE

Email: gpsr@libri.de

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  • Produktbild: Prediction Revisited
  • Timeline of Innovations ix
     
    Essential Concepts xi
     
    Preface xv
     
    1 Introduction 1
     
    Relevance 2
     
    Informativeness 3
     
    Similarity 4
     
    Roadmap 4
     
    2 Observing Information 7
     
    Observing Information Conceptually 7
     
    Central Tendency 8
     
    Spread 9
     
    Information Theory 10
     
    The Strong Pull of Normality 14
     
    A Constant of Convenience 17
     
    Key Takeaways 18
     
    Observing Information Mathematically 20
     
    Average 20
     
    Spread 21
     
    Information Distance 24
     
    Observing Information Applied 26
     
    Appendix 2.1: On the Inflection Point of the Normal Distribution 32
     
    References 39
     
    3 Co-occurrence 41
     
    Co-occurrence Conceptually 41
     
    Correlation as an Information-Weighted Average of Co-occurrence 46
     
    Pairs of Pairs 49
     
    Across Many Attributes 50
     
    Key Takeaways 52
     
    Co-occurrence Mathematically 54
     
    The Covariance Matrix 58
     
    Co-occurrence Applied 59
     
    References 66
     
    4 Relevance 67
     
    Relevance Conceptually 67
     
    Informativeness 68
     
    Similarity 72
     
    Relevance and Prediction 73
     
    How Much Have You Regressed? 74
     
    Partial Sample Regression 76
     
    Asymmetry 80
     
    Sensitivity 86
     
    Memory and Bias 87
     
    Key Takeaways 88
     
    Relevance Mathematically 90
     
    Prediction 95
     
    Equivalence to Linear Regression 97
     
    Partial Sample Regression 100
     
    Asymmetry 102
     
    Relevance Applied 107
     
    Appendix 4.1: Predicting Binary Outcomes 114
     
    Predicting Binary Outcomes Conceptually 114
     
    Predicting Binary Outcomes Mathematically 116
     
    References 121
     
    5 Fit 123
     
    Fit Conceptually 123
     
    Failing Gracefully 125
     
    Why Fit Varies 126
     
    Avoiding Bias 129
     
    Precision 130
     
    Focus 133
     
    Key Takeaways 134
     
    Fit Mathematically 136
     
    Components of Fit 138
     
    Precision 139
     
    Fit Applied 143
     
    6 Reliability 149
     
    Reliability Conceptually 149
     
    Key Takeaways 153
     
    Reliability Mathematically 155
     
    Reliability Applied 163
     
    References 168
     
    7 Toward Complexity 169
     
    Toward Complexity Conceptually 169
     
    Learning by Example 170
     
    Expanding on Relevance 171
     
    Key Takeaways 175
     
    Toward Complexity Mathematically 177
     
    Complexity Applied 183
     
    References 183
     
    8 Foundations of Relevance 185
     
    Observations and Relevance: A Brief Review of the Main Insights 186
     
    Spread 187
     
    Co-occurrence 187
     
    Relevance 188
     
    Asymmetry 188
     
    Fit and Reliability 189
     
    Partial Sample Regression and Machine Learning Algorithms 189
     
    Abraham de Moivre (1667-1754) 190
     
    Pierre-Simon Laplace (1749-1827) 192
     
    Carl Friedrich Gauss (1777-1853) 193
     
    Francis Galton (1822-1911) 195
     
    Karl Pearson (1857-1936) 197
     
    Ronald Fisher (1890-1962) 199
     
    Prasanta Chandra Mahalanobis (1893-1972) 200
     
    Claude Shannon (1916-2001) 202
     
    References 206
     
    Concluding Thoughts 209
     
    Perspective 209
     
    Insights 210
     
    Prescriptions 210
     
    Index 211